EUR/AUD Technical Outlook: Monthly Price Reversal Under Review

EURAUD topsy-turvy off a vicious insurgency operation final week and we’ve been tracking a pullback in cost as a span approaches halt support during a 2017 high-day close. The span has continued to trade within a weekly opening-range though we’re looking for a probable relapse reduce before resumption of a broader up-trend.

EURAUD Daily Price Chart

EUR/AUD Price Chart - Daily Timeframe

Technical Outlook: In this week’s Technical Perspective we highlighted that EUR/AUD had, “posted a weekly annulment candle final week off vicious insurgency during 1.5952-1.6018– a segment tangible by a 78.6% retracement of a 2015 decrease a 100% prolongation of a 2017 allege and converges on a median-line of a extended descending pitchfork arrangement fluctuating off a 2011 2012 lows. Divergence in a movement form serve highlights a hazard of a deeper pullback here.

The sell-off rebounded off halt support during a 2017 high-day tighten during 1.5622 early in a week with prices branch once again from a 2017 highs during 1.5771 in early Asia trade. The evident concentration is on a mangle of this near-term operation with a risk for a incomparable improvement while next 1.58.

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EURAUD 120min Price Chart

EUR/AUD Price Chart - 120min Timeframe

Notes: A closer demeanour during EUR/AUD cost movement shows a span trade within a proportions of a near-term descending channel formation fluctuating off a monthly highs with a upper parallel highlighting a near-term bearish cancellation spin during a 1.58-handle. A mangle next 1.5622 is indispensable to countenance a broader spin with such a unfolding targeting a reduce together / 61.8% prolongation during 1.5573 corroborated by a Jan high during 1.5498 and a Fibonacci connection around 1.5423/38.

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Bottom line: EURAUD is has set a well-defined weekly opening-range only above multi-month support. From a trade standpoint, I’ll preference offered strength sub-1.58 targeting a mangle of this range. Ultimately a mangle reduce would have us looking for some-more auspicious long-entries nearby broader constructional support, now around ~1.54. A crack above 1.58 invalidates a annulment play with such a unfolding targeting pivotal insurgency behind during 1.5952-1.6018.

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Relevant Data Releases

EUR/AUD Economic Calendar

Other Setups in Play

– Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

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