GBP: The Central Bank Clears a Path for Rate Hikes

GBP: The Central Bank Clears a Path for Rate Hikes

Talking Points:

  • GBP/USD hits a 15-month high.
  • Market expectations now indicate to a 0.25% rate travel in 2017.
  • GBP/USD might exam 1.4000 if a FOMC disappoints on Wednesday.

Fundamental Forecast for GBP: Bullish

The bank of England done transparent this week that markets are underestimating a probability of an seductiveness rate travel this year, notwithstanding diseased GDP and salary expansion numbers. The transparent outline was sent out by administrator Carney after Thursday’s MPC assembly and reinforced by a hawkish debate by BOE process builder Gert Vlieghe, a one-time dove. Cable duly responded attack a 15-month high and still has room to pierce to a upside, generally as a USD stays weak.

On a weekly draft a 38.2% retracement of a Jul 2014 – Oct 2016 sell-off comes into play during 1.39116 while a a opening adult to 1.40175 also stays to be filled, assisting to finish a retreat conduct and shoulders. Support stays during a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement during 1.31379, while a Aug 3 high of 1.32700 should also yield a covering of downside protection.

Chart: GBP/USD Weekly Time Frame (April 2014 – Sep 15, 2017)

GBP: The Central Bank Clears a Path for Rate Hikes

Care should be taken during a start and a finish of a week with BOE administrator Carney vocalization to a IMF on Monday while UK PM Theresa May sets out a government’s position on Brexit in a debate in Florence on Friday. And only to keep traders on their toes, a latest FOMC process decision, outline of mercantile projections and concomitant press discussion are denounced on Wednesday.

— Written by Nick Cawley, Analyst

To hit Nick, email him during nicholas.cawley@ig.com

Follow Nick on Twitter @nickcawley1

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