GBP/USD Forecast: Bearish Series Remains in Play Ahead of U.K. CPI

British Pound Talking Points

The British Pound pares a decrease from progressing this morning as a U.K. House of Commons votes 324 to 298 to reject an amendment to a Brexit bill, though new cost movement raises a risk for a serve decrease in GBP/USD as a sell rate carves a bearish series.

Image of daily change for vital currencies

GBP/USD Forecast: Bearish Series Remains in Play Ahead of U.K. CPI

Image of daily change for GBPUSD

The British Pound outperforms a vital counterparts even as a U.K. practice news showed an astonishing slack in core Average Weekly Earnings, and GBP/USD might continue to benefit belligerent over a subsequent 24-hours as U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May secures a pivotal opinion in parliament.

At a same time, updates to a U.K. Consumer Price Index (CPI) are expected to uncover a title and core reading for acceleration holding solid in May, and signs of gummy cost enlargement might inspire a Bank of England (BoE) to serve normalize financial process in 2018 as ‘an ongoing tightening of financial process over a foresee duration would be suitable to lapse acceleration sustainably to a aim during a required horizon.

As a result, Governor Mark Carney and Co. might boost their efforts to ready U.K. households and businesses for aloft borrowing-costs during a subsequent assembly on Jun 21, though indications of easing cost pressures might furnish headwinds for a British Pound as marketplace participants scale behind bets for an approaching BoE rate-hike.

Nevertheless, near-term opinion opinion for GBP/USD stays slanted to a downside as a Relative Strength Index (RSI) extends a bearish arrangement from progressing this year, with a span still during risk of creation a run during a November-low (1.3039) as it carves a array of reduce highs lows.

GBP/USD Daily Chart

Image of GBPUSD daily chart

  • Failure to tighten above a 1.3440 (38.2% expansion) to 1.3460 (50% expansion) segment raises a risk for a serve decrease in GBP/USD, with a tighten subsequent 1.3370 (78.6% expansion) opening adult a Fibonacci overlie around 1.3280 (23.6% expansion) to 1.3300 (100% expansion).
  • A mangle of a May-low (1.3204) brings adult a 1.3100 (38.2% retracement) handle, with a subsequent segment of seductiveness entrance in around 1.2950 (23.6% expansion).

For some-more in-depth analysis, check out a Q2 Forecast for a British Pound

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— Written by David Song, Currency Analyst

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