GBP/USD Risks Larger Advance Ahead of BoE on Strong U.K. CPI Report

U.K. Consumer Price Index (CPI) to Pick Up for First Time Since May.

Core Rate of Inflation to Increase Annualized 2.5%- Second Highest Reading for 2017.

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Trading a News: U.K. Consumer Price Index (CPI)


An uptick in a title and core U.K. Consumer Price Index (CPI) might hint a bullish greeting in GBP/USD as it puts vigour on a Bank of England (BoE) to lift a benchmark seductiveness rate off of a record-low.

Even yet a BoE is widely approaching to keep a stream process during a Sep 14 meeting, signs of worsening cost might inspire Governor Mark Carney and Co. to ready U.K. domicile and businesses for aloft borrowing-costs as officials disagree ‘the withdrawal of partial of a impulse that a Committee had injected in Aug final year would assistance to assuage a acceleration mistake while withdrawal financial process really supportive.’ Nevertheless, a assembly mins might exhibit 7 to 2 apart as Sir David Ramsden joins a Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), and a infancy might merely try to buy some-more time as ‘GDP enlargement had been indolent and was approaching to sojourn so in a nearby term.’

Impact that the U.K. CPI report has had on GBP/USD during a previous release

July 2017 U.K. Consumer Price Index (CPI)

GBP/USD 5-Minute


The U.K. Consumer Price Index (CPI) suddenly reason solid during an annualized 2.6% in July, with a core rate of acceleration exhibiting a identical energetic as a figure increasing 2.4% during a same duration amid forecasts for a 2.5% print. A deeper demeanour during a news showed prices for wardrobe and shoes slipped another 3.0% in July, with a cost for domicile products squeezing 1.2%, while travel costs modernized 1.0% during a same duration on a behind of easing appetite prices. The British Pound struggled to reason a belligerent following a below-forecast prints, with GBP/USD slipping subsequent a 1.2900 hoop to finish a day during 1.2866.

How To Trade This Event Risk(Video)

Bullish GBP Trade: Headline Core CPI Picks Up

  • Need a green, five-minute candle following a news to preference a prolonged GBP/USD position.
  • If marketplace greeting favors a bullish British Pound trade, buy GBP/USD with dual apart lots.
  • Set stop during a near-by pitch low/reasonable stretch from entry; demeanour for during slightest 1:1 risk-to-reward.
  • Move stop to breakeven on remaining position once initial aim is met, set reasonable limit.

Bearish GBP Trade: U.K. CPI Report Fails to Meet Market Expectations

  • Need a red, five-minute GBP/USD candle to preference a brief British Pound position.
  • Carry out a same setup as a bullish Sterling trade, only in reverse.

Potential Price Targets For The Release

GBP/USD Daily Chart

GBP/USD Daily Chart

Check out a GBP/USD quarterly projections in a FREE DailyFX Trading Forecasts

  • GBP/USD appears to have done a unsuccessful try to exam a August-high (1.3268) as it struggles to safety a array of aloft highs lows from progressing this month, though a span might theatre a incomparable allege over a entrance days as it nullifies a hazard of a head-and-shoulders formation, while a Relative Strength Index (RSI) appears to be finally violation out of a downward trend carried over from May.
  • In turn, topside targets sojourn on a radar, with a break/close above a 1.3300 (100% expansion) hoop opening adult the subsequent segment of seductiveness around 1.3370 (78.6% expansion) followed by a 1.3460 (50% retracement) zone, that sits only above a Sep 2016-high (1.3445).
  • Interim Resistance: 1.3460 (50% retracement) to 1.3481 (July 2016-high)
  • Interim Support: 1.2630 (38.2% expansion) to 1.2680 (50% retracement)

GBP/USD Retail Sentiment

GBP/USD Retail Sentiment

Track Retail Sentiment in Real-Time with a New Gauge Developed by DailyFX

Retail merchant information shows 30.9% of traders are net-long GBP/USD with a ratio of traders brief to prolonged during 2.23 to 1. The series of traders net-long is 10.1% aloft than yesterday and 28.3% reduce from final week, while a series of traders net-short is 3.2% aloft than yesterday and 52.4% aloft from final week.

— Written by David Song, Currency Analyst

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