Gold Prices Jump as US Dollar, Yields Drop After Trade Data

Talking Points:

  • Gold prices arise many in 3 months after US trade data
  • Outsized bullion pierce substantially reflects marketplace illiquidity
  • Crude oil prices tumble as EIA reports register increase

Gold prices rose, posting a largest daily benefit in 3 months. A point corresponding decrease in a US Dollar and front-end Treasury bond yields points to an boost in a relations interest of anti-fiat and non-interest-bearing assets. That pierce followed a recover of US trade information that showed a necessity suddenly widened to $65.3 billion in November, a largest given Mar 2015. Economists projected that a shortfall would slight from $62 to $61.6 billion forward of a announcement.

While positively important, trade information is an sparse motorist of evident volatility, generally when a numbers on offer tumble broadly within new trends (as November’s total did). With that in mind, a outsized response from financial markets seems to simulate illiquid holiday trade conditions rather than loyal self-assurance from investors. Indeed, follow-through might be muted as a spotlight earnings to a on-coming focus in US mercantile process and a implications for a arena of Fed rate hikes in a days and weeks ahead.

Crude oil prices edged reduce after EIA register information showed stockpiles suddenly grew by 614k barrels final week. Economists were awaiting a 1.5 million tub drawdown. The WTI benchmark continues to float nearby monthly highs forward of doing of a OPEC’s outlay cut intrigue subsequent month. That seems expected to continue by a final hours of a trade week, with traders substantially demure to dedicate to a directional disposition forward of a New Year break.

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GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Gold prices are staid to transparent insurgency during 1149.85, a 14.6% Fibonacci retracement, opening a doorway for a exam of a 23.6% spin during 1166.51. Alternatively, a spin behind subsequent 1149.85 sees a subsequent downside separator during 1122.81, a Dec 15 low.

Gold Prices Jump as US Dollar, Yields Drop After Trade Data

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSISCrude oil prices sojourn stranded nearby December’s high. A daily tighten above insurgency in a 54.66-55.28 area (38.2% Fibonacci expansion, trend line) targets a 50% spin during 56.11. Alternatively, a spin behind subsequent plane focus support during 51.91 targets a 38.2% Fib retracement during 49.80.

Gold Prices Jump as US Dollar, Yields Drop After Trade Data

— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for

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