Marked Slowdown in Canada GDP to Fuel USD/CAD Recovery

– Canada 3Q GDP to Slow to Annualized 1.6%- Slowest Pace of Growth Since 2Q 2016.

Canada Employment to Increase Another 10.0K in November.

Trading a News: Canada Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Canada GDP

Canada’s 3Q Gross Domestic Product (GDP) news might fuel a near-term liberation in USD/CAD as a enlargement rate is approaching to delayed to an annualized 1.6% after expanding 4.5% during a three-months by June.

Even yet Canada Employment is approaching to supplement another 10.0K jobs in November, a noted slack in a enlargement rate might impact a near-term opinion for a dollar-loonie sell rate as it encourages a Bank of Canada (BoC) to validate a wait-and-see proceed for a foreseeable future. After delivering dual rate-hikes in 2017, Governor Stephen Poloz and Co. seem to be in no rush to exercise aloft borrowing-costs as ‘growth is approaching to assuage to a some-more tolerable gait in a second half of 2017 and sojourn tighten to potential over a subsequent dual years.’

In turn, a BoC might hang to a sidelines during a subsequent process assembly on Dec 6, though a executive bank might continue to change a financial process opinion in 2018 as ‘less financial process impulse will expected be compulsory over time.’

Impact that Canada GDP news has had on USD/CAD during a previous quarter

2Q 2017 Canada Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

USD/CAD 15-Minute Chart


Canada’s 2Q Gross Domestic Product (GDP) news showed a economy expanding an annualized 4.5% to symbol a fastest gait of enlargement given 2011, with a above-forecast imitation led by a 4.6% arise in domicile consumption. Signs of stronger-than-expected enlargement might inspire a Bank of Canada (BoC) to serve normalize financial as a executive bank rises a benchmark seductiveness rate off of a record-low in 2017, and Governor Stephen Poloz and Co. might continue to change their balance over a entrance months amid a certain developments entrance out of a region.

The Canadian dollar rallied opposite a U.S. reflection following a GDP report, with USD/CAD slipping subsequent 1.2500 hoop to finish a day during 1.2481. Looking to trade Canada GDP but don’t have a strategy? Download examination a DailyFX Advanced Guide for Trading a News to learn a 8 step strategy.

USD/CAD Daily Chart

USD/CAD Daily Chart

  • USD/CAD stays during risk for a incomparable improvement as an different head-and-shoulders arrangement continues to unfold, with a span during risk of fluctuating a allege from progressing this week amid a unsuccessful try to exam a November-low (1.2670).
  • Fresh array of aloft highs lows keeps a topside targets on a radar generally as a Relative Strength Index (RSI) flashes a bullish trigger and clears a downward trend from progressing this month.
  • A mangle of a monthly-high (1.2917) opens adult a subsequent jump around 1.2980 (61.8% retracement) to 1.3030 (50% expansion), that sits only above a 200-Day SMA (1.2969), with a subsequent segment of seductiveness entrance in around 1.3130 (61.8% retracement).
  • Keep in mind, disaster to mangle a monthly opening operation might encourage choppy cost movement going into Dec as marketplace appearance tends to skinny forward of a weekend.

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— Written by David Song, Currency Analyst

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