RBNZ Preview: NZD/USD Rebound Susceptible to Dovish Policy Outlook

Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) to Hold Official Cash Rate during Record-Low of 1.75%.

Will Acting Governor Grant Spencer Continue to Tame Bets for Higher Borrowing-Costs?

Trading a News: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Interest Rate Decision

RBNZ Interest Rate Decision

NZD/USD stands during risk of fluctuating a decrease from a prior month as a Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is widely approaching to safety a record-low money rate during a final process assembly for 2017.

With a bloc government underneath Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern pledging to examination and correct a RBNZ’s mandate, behaving GovernorGrant Spencer might merely try to buy some-more time generally as Finance Minister Grant Robertson argues ‘monetary process should play a partial in a altogether economic goals of a government.’ With that said, a change in care might keep a RBNZ on a sidelines until Governor Spencer’s tenure expires in Mar as a executive bank stays in no rush to normalize financial policy.

Nevertheless, NZD/USD might face a bullish greeting if a RBNZ astonishing alters a financial process opinion and prepares New Zealand households and businesses for a rate-hike in 2018.

Impact that RBNZ seductiveness rate preference has had on NZD/USD during a prior meeting

September 2017 Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBA) Interest Rate Decision

NZD/USD 10-Minute Chart


The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) stranded to a sidelines in September, and it seems as yet behaving GovernorGrant Spencer will keep a record-low money rate via a residue of a year as ‘headline acceleration is expected to decrease in entrance quarters.’ The concomitant process matter suggests a RBNZ will continue to tame bets for aloft borrowing-costs as officials echo ‘monetary process will sojourn accommodative for a substantial period,’ and a executive bank might demeanour to harden a written involvement on a internal banking as ‘a reduce New Zealand dollar would assistance to boost tradables acceleration and broach some-more offset growth.

The New Zealand dollar struggled to reason a belligerent following a RBNZ rate decision, though a marketplace greeting was short-lived, with NZD/USD climbing behind above a 0.7200 hoop to tighten a day during 0.7235. Interested in trading a RBNZ seductiveness rate preference though don’t have a strategy? Review theFREE DailyFX Advanced Guide for Trading a News to learn a 8 step strategy.

NZD/USD Daily Chart

NZD/USD Daily Chart

  • NZD/USD might continue to retrace a pointy decrease from a prior month following a unsuccessful try to mangle a 2017-low (0.6818), while a Relative Strength Index continues to come off of oversold domain and approaches trendline resistance.
  • Break/close above a 0.6940 (61.8% expansion) to 0.6950 (38.2% retracement) jump opens adult a subsequent segment of seductiveness around 0.6990 (23.6% retracement).
  • However, a broader opinion for NZD/USD stays mired by a bearish formations carried over from a summer months, with a span during risk of creation another run during a pivotal support-zone around 0.6820 (23.6% retracement) to 0.6870 (50% retracement) as it snaps a array of aloft highs lows from progressing this month.
  • Next downside aim comes in around 0.6780 (100% expansion) followed by a 0.6710 (61.8% expansion) region.

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— Written by David Song, Currency Analyst

To hit David, e-mail dsong@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter during @DavidJSong.

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