USD/JPY Decision Time- 112.30 Line in a Sand

Talking Points

  • USDJPY carves transparent weekly opening range- shorts during risk into 112.30/40
  • Updated targets cancellation levels
  • Looking for some-more trade ideas? Review DailyFX’s 2017 Trading Guides. Join Michael for Live Weekly Trading Webinars on Mondays at 13:30GMT (8:30ET)

USD/JPY Daily

USD/JPY Daily Chart

Technical Outlook: USDJPY is in dilapidation and a concentration is on a pivotal constructional connection during ~112.30/40 where a reduce together of a descending pitchfork arrangement converges on some near-term Fibonacci considerations. I’ll preference a long-side while above this threshold with broader bullish cancellation solid during 111.07/45. Initials insurgency is eyed into 114 with a crack by 115.51-116.08 indispensable to symbol resumption of a broader uptrend.

USD/JPY 120min

USD/JPY 120min Chart

Notes: A closer demeanour during cost movement sees a span figure a transparent weekly opening operation only above a monthly open / 61..8% retracement during 112.80/88.We can’t order out another run a reduce together only yet, a broader concentration stays constructive while north of 112.33/39. Topside insurgency targets eyed during 114.06, 114.70 a 50% retracement during 115.10. A entertain of a daily normal loyal operation (ATR) yields distinction targets of 25-28 pips per scalp.

USD/JPY Decision Time- 112.30 Line in a Sand

  • A outline of a DailyFX Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) shows traders are net-long USDJPY- a ratio stands during +1.73 (63% of traders are long)- bearish reading
  • Long positions are 6.0% aloft than yesterday and 18.3% above levels seen final week
  • Short positions are 16.1% reduce than yesterday and a full 26.7% next levels seen final week
  • Open seductiveness is 3.3% reduce than yesterday and 8.1% next a monthly normal
  • While a stream SSI form continues to indicate lower, it’s value observant that a new pull down in brief positioning has been accompanied by a decrease in open interest; this suggests that a convene is using stops and leaves a risk aloft while above pivotal connection support during 112.30.

Relevant Data Releases

USD/JPY Decision Time- 112.30 Line in a Sand

Other Setups in Play:

  • Crude Prices Flirt with Key Resistance- 2017 Opening Range Intact
  • USD/CAD Constructive Above 1.3070 Ahead of Canada Retail Sales
  • EUR/NZD Targeting Resistance- Monthly Range Break to Validate Outlook
  • AUD/USD Eyeing Topside Targets Ahead of Aussie Jobs Report

—Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

Follow Michael on Twitter @MBForex hit him during mboutros@dailyfx.com or Click Here to be combined to his email placement list.

About author