Weekly Technical Perspective on Crude Oil Prices

In this array we scale-back and take a demeanour during a broader technical design to benefit a bit some-more viewpoint on where we are in trend. Here are a pivotal levels that matter on a weekly charts for Crude Oil prices. Review this week’s Strategy Webinar for an in-depth relapse of this setup and more.

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Crude Oil Weekly Price Chart

Crude Oil Price Chart - Weekly Timeframe

Notes:Last month we highlighted a key insurgency section in wanton prices at, “70.42-71.32 where a 100% prolongation of a 2016 allege and a 50% retracement of a 2011 decrease intersect on a median-line.” Price purebred a high-close during 71.33 before posting an outward weekly annulment off together insurgency (on building RSI divergence).

Oil is down some-more than 10% off a yearly high during this indicate with prices contrast together support now in New York trade. We’re expected to see some back-and-fill (recovery) here though a broader risk stays reduce while subsequent a yearly high-week tighten during 67.46. Ultimately a crack / tighten above a 70.42-71.32 insurgency operation would be indispensable to symbol resumption of a broader uptrend.

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Crude Oil Weekly Price Chart (Analog)

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Bottom line: We’ve been tracking this price analog with a 2009 allege in wanton oil given a start of a year. The research suggests sideways-to-lower cost movement over a subsequent few weeks with a mangle reduce from here targeting support objectives during a reduce median-line parallel, now around ~61.80s- demeanour for a some-more distinguished greeting there IF reached (area of seductiveness for probable near-term depletion / long-entries). Keep in mind we get a recover of wanton oil inventories tomorrow during 2:30pm ET.

Crude Oil IG Client Positioning

Crude Oil IG Trader Sentiment

  • A outline of IG Client Sentimentshows traders are net-long a Crude Oil (USOil)- a ratio stands during +1.71 (63.1% of traders are long) – bearishreading
  • Retail has remained net-long given May 25th ;price has changed 8.1% reduce given then
  • Long positions are 2.5% reduce than yesterday and 11.7% aloft from final week
  • Short positions are 2.3% reduce than yesterday and 1.5% aloft from final week
  • We typically take a contrarian perspective to throng sentiment, and a fact traders are net-long suggests Oil – US Crude prices might continue to fall. However, sell traders are reduction net-long than yesterday but some-more net-long from final week and the multiple of stream positioning and new changes gives us a serve churned Crude Oil trade bias from a view standpoint.

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— Written by Michael Boutros, Technical Currency Strategist with DailyFX

Follow Michael on Twitter @MBForex or hit him during mboutros@dailyfx.com

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